ST-37 City, Mwali, Fomboni Moheli Comoros Union.
ST-37 City, Mwali, Fomboni Moheli Comoros Union.
Apr 29
2024
Gold price struggles to capitalize on its modest gains registered over the past two trading days and edges lower on the first day of a new week, albeit the downside remains cushioned.
From a technical perspective, last week's bounce from levels below the $2,300 mark faced rejection near the $2,352-2,353 confluence comprising the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent pullback from the all-time peak and the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA). The subsequent downfall, however, showed some resilience below the 100-hour SMA and stalled near the $2,320 area (23.6% Fibo. level), which should now act as a key pivotal point. A sustained break below could make the Gold price vulnerable to retesting last week's swing low, around the $2,292-2,291 region, before dropping to the next relevant support near the $2,268-2,265 zone.
On the flip side, bulls need to wait for a move beyond the $2,352-2,353 confluence hurdle before placing fresh bets. The Gold price might then accelerate the positive move towards the next relevant hurdle near the $2,371-2,372 region en route to the $2,400 round figure. The momentum could extend further towards the all-time peak, around the $2,431-2,432 area touched earlier this month.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) meets with a fresh supply and reverses Friday's modest recovery gains from a two-week low amid a sharp recovery in the Japanese Yen (JPY), bolstered by a possible government intervention. Furthermore, the protracted Russia-Ukraine war keeps geopolitical risks in play and contributes to limiting the downside for the Gold price. Traders might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting starting on Tuesday and key US macro data scheduled at the start of a new month, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.