Apr 26
2024

Gold clings to modest daily gains at around $2,350

Gold stays in positive territory at around $2,350 after closing in positive territory on Thursday. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges lower ahead of US PCE Price Index data, allowing XAU/USD to stretch higher.

Technical Overview

From a technical perspective, the XAU/USD, so far, has been struggling to make it through the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the daily chart. The said barrier is currently pegged near the $2,345 region and should now act as a key pivotal point amid mixed oscillators on the daily chart. Meanwhile, a sustained strength beyond will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and lift the Gold price to the next relevant hurdle near the $2,371-2,372 region. The subsequent move up could extend further towards the $2,400 round figure en route to the all-time peak, around the $2,431-2,432 area touched earlier this month.

On the flip side, bearish traders are likely to wait for some follow-through selling and acceptance below the $2,300 mark before placing fresh bets. The Gold price might then extend the corrective decline further towards the $2,260-2,255 intermediate support before eventually dropping to the $2,225 area and the $2,200-2,190 region, representing the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

 
 

Fundamental Overview

Gold price (XAU/USD) edges higher during the Asian session on Friday, albeit lacks follow-through buying and remains below the overnight swing high. As investors look past the weaker US GDP print, growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay cutting interest rates amid still sticky inflation helps revive the US Dollar (USD) demand. This, along with a generally positive tone around the equity markets, turns out to be a key factor acting as a headwind for the safe-haven precious metal. 

The downside for the Gold price, however, remains cushioned as the USD bulls might prefer to wait for more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path before placing fresh bets. Hence, the focus remains glued to the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. The crucial inflation data will play a key role in influencing the Fed's future policy decision, which, in turn, will drive the USD demand and determine the next leg of a directional move for the non-yielding yellow metal.