Apr 22
2024

Gold price drops to one-week low around $2,350 amid positive risk tone, hawkish Fed

Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its steady intraday descent through the early part of the European session on Monday and drops to a one-week low, around the $2,350 area in the last hour. 

Technical Overview

From a technical perspective, the range-bound price action witnessed over the past week or so constitutes the formation of a rectangle on short-term charts. Against the backdrop of the recent blowout rally, this might still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have eased from the overbought territory and suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price is to the upside. That said, bulls might wait for sustained strength and acceptance above the $2,400 mark – representing the top end of the trading range – before positioning for any further gains. 

On the flip side, the lower boundary of the aforementioned range, around the $2,364-2,363 region, is likely to protect the immediate downside and act as a key pivotal point. A convincing break below might prompt some technical selling and drag the Gold Price to the $2,325-2,322 area en route to the $2,300 round figure.

 

Fundamental Overview

Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its steady intraday descent through the early part of the European session on Monday and drops to a one-week low, around the $2,350 area in the last hour. Expectations that a conflict between Iran and Israel will not worsen boost investors' confidence, which is evident from a generally positive tone around the equity markets. Furthermore, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will delay cutting interest rates amid still sticky inflation remain supportive of the recent US Dollar (USD) bullish run. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor driving flow away from the safe-haven precious metal.

The downside for the Gold price, however, remains cushioned in the wake of firming expectations that major central banks will cut interest rates this year. Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bearish bets ahead of this week's release of the flash global PMIs on Tuesday and important US macro data – the Advance Q1 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Thursday and Friday, respectively. This, in turn, warrants some caution before confirming that the XAU/USD has topped out in the near term and positioning for any meaningful corrective decline.