Mar 14
2024

Gold price remains depressed amid renewed USD buying, looks to US data for fresh impetus

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's recovery move from the $2,150 area, or the weekly low and comes under some selling pressure on Thursday.

Technical Overview

From a technical perspective, any subsequent move up is more likely to confront some resistance near the $2,195 region, or the record peak touched last Friday. Some follow-through buying beyond the $2,200 mark will push the Gold price to uncharted territory and be seen as a fresh trigger for bulls, setting the stage for an extension of the recent blowout rally witnessed over the past two weeks or so.

On the flip side, the $2,155-2,150 area now seems to protect the immediate downside, below which the Gold Price could slide to the next relevant support near the $2,128-2,127 zone. The corrective decline could extend further towards the $2,100 round figure, which should act as a strong base for the XAU/USD. A convincing break below might prompt some technical selling and pave the way for deeper losses.

Fundamental Overview

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's recovery move from the $2,150 area, or the weekly low and comes under some selling pressure on Thursday. A hot US inflation print fueled speculations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may delay interest rate cuts. This, in turn, remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields, which assists the US Dollar (USD) to regain some positive traction and turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the non-yielding yellow metal. 

The markets, however, are still pricing in a greater chance that the US central bank will start cutting interest rates in June, which might hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Apart from this, geopolitical risks stemming from the protracted Russia-Ukraine war and conflicts in the Middle East might continue to lend some support to the safe-haven Gold price. Investors might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC meeting starting next Tuesday.