Feb 16
2024

Gold price struggles to lure buyers amid rising US bond yields, ahead of US macro data

Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers during the early part of the European session on Friday and looks to build on its recovery from a two-month low, around the $1,984 region touched this week. 

From a technical perspective, any subsequent move up is likely to confront some resistance near the $2,015 level. Some follow-through buying should allow the Gold price to test the 50-day SMA, currently around the $2,030 region. The latter should act as a key pivotal point, which if cleared decisively will set the stage for additional gains beyond the $2,044-2,045 intermediate hurdle, towards the $2,065 supply zone.

On the flip side, the 100-day SMA, currently around the $1,992-1,991 area, could act as immediate support ahead of the $1,984 region, or a two-month low touched on Wednesday. This is followed by the very important 200-day SMA, currently pegged near the $1,965 area, which if broken decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish trades. The Gold price might then accelerate the fall towards an intermediate support near the $1,952-1,950 zone en route to the November 2023 low, around the $1,932-1,931 region.

Fundamental Overview

 

Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers during the early part of the European session on Friday and looks to build on its recovery from a two-month low, around the $1,984 region touched this week. The US Dollar (USD) bulls prefer to wait on the sidelines amid the uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut path, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the commodity. That said, a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields, bolstered by Atlanta FED President Raphael Bostic's hawkish remarks, lends some support to the Greenback and should cap gains for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Apart from this, a generally positive tone around the equity markets might further contribute to keeping a lid on any meaningful appreciating move for the safe-haven Gold price. Market participants now look to the US economic docket – featuring the Producer Price Index(PPI), Housing Starts and Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. This, along with speeches by influential FOMC members, will drive the USD demand and provide some impetus to the XAU/USD. The focus will then shift to the FOMC meeting minutes, due next Wednesday. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end in the red for the second straight week.