Jun 19
2024

Gold price remains capped as yields gain ground on Fed's hawkish narrative

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from the vicinity of the $2,300 mark and oscillates in a narrow band during the European session on Wednesday. 

Technical Overview

From a technical perspective, bulls need to wait for a sustained strength beyond the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support breakpoint-turned-resistance, currently pegged near the $2,344-2,345 region, before placing fresh bets. The subsequent move up has the potential to lift the Gold price beyond the $2,360-2,362 supply zone, towards the $2,387-2,388 intermediate hurdle en route to the $2,400 mark. A sustained strength beyond the latter will negate any near-term negative outlook and allow the XAU/USD to aim back to retest the all-time peak, around the $2,450 area touched in May.

On the flip side, the $2,300 mark might continue to protect the immediate downside ahead of the $2,285 horizontal support. A convincing break below the latter should pave the way for the resumption of the recent pullback from the record high and drag the Gold price towards the next relevant support near the $2,254-2,253 region. The downward trajectory could extend further towards the $2,225-2,220 support before the commodity eventually drops to the $2,200 round-figure mark.

 

Fundamental Overview

Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day's bounce from the vicinity of the $2,300 mark and oscillates in a narrow band during the European session on Wednesday. The precious metal remains capped in a familiar trading range held over the past one-and-half-week or so as traders seek clarity about the likely timing when the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start cutting interest rates before placing fresh directional bets. 


The US central bank adopted a more hawkish stance at the end of the June policy meeting and forecasted only one rate cut this year. The markets, however, are still pricing in the possibility of two rate cuts in 2024 amid signs of easing inflation in the US. Moreover, weaker US retail sales data released on Tuesday pointed to signs of exhaustion among US consumers and lifted bets for the first Fed rate cut in September and another in December.