May 28

Gold price rebounds on weaker US Dollar, investors await US key data

Gold price edges higher on Tuesday after bouncing off two-week lows of $2,325. The uptick of yellow metal is bolstered by the softer US Dollar and safe-haven flows amid the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. 

Technical Overview

Gold price defied the bearish bias on a rising wedge breakdown on Monday, supported by a positive shift in the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), above the 50 level.

However, the further upside hinges on acceptance above the wedge support-turned-resistance at $2,365 on a daily closing basis.

At the moment, Gold price battles the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,349, having closed above that level a day ago.

If Gold buyers managed to regain control above the aforementioned barrier at $2,365, a fresh advance toward the May 24 high of $2,384 cannot be ruled out.

The next topside hurdle is seen at the $2,400 mark.

On the flip side, Gold sellers need to crack the 50-day SMA support at $2,317 to resume the downtrend.

The next cushion is aligned at the $2,300 level, below which the May 3 low of $2,277 will be tested.


Fundamental Overview

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester are due to speak at a Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) event titled "Policy Panel Discussion" at 04:55 GMT. Their commentaries will be closely scrutinized by markets for gauging the path forward on interest rates.

The Fedspeak could help revive the US Dollar demand, if the policymakers stick to their cautious approach to inflation, especially after April’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. In anticipation of this, the non-interest-bearing Gold price is treading water, pausing its recovery momentum.

Gold buyers are also taking a breather, as risk sentiment remains in a sweeter spot, courtesy of renewed optimism surrounding China’s embattled property market. China’s Shanghai City announced several measures to prop up the country’s housing market.

However, the extended weakness in the US Dollar is helping Gold price to stay afloat, as they await US traders’ return after a long weekend for fresh trading impulse. Also, in focus will remain more Fed policymakers’ speeches, due later in American trading on Tuesday.