May 20
2024

Gold price rises to a new record high, escalating geopolitical tensions in focus

Gold price gains momentum on Monday. The yellow metal hit a record high near $2,441 during the Asian session on Monday amid renewed hopes for interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Technical Overview

As observed on the daily chart, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is heading toward the overbought region, currently near 68.00, suggesting that there is some room for upside.

Gold buyers must find acceptance above the record high of $2,441 if the $2,450 psychological level needs to be tested.

A sustained move above the latter could open doors for a fresh rally toward $2,500.

However, if Gold sellers defend the $2,450 barrier, a retracement toward the $2,400 round figure remains on the card.

The next relevant supports are seen at Friday’s low of $2,374, followed by the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,340.

 

Fundamental Overview

However, market participants refrain from placing fresh bets on the Gold price, anticipating a slew of speeches from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers, which could offer fresh cues on the central bank’s path forward on interest rates.

Gold buyers continue to capitalize on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s last week's speech, where he affirmed that an interest rate hike is not on the table. Meanwhile, bets of two 25 basis points (bps) interest rate hikes this year keep Gold price on an upward trajectory.

Additionally, China, a top Gold consumer, announced "historic" steps to stabiilze the crisis-hit property sector on Friday, contributing to the upside in Gold price. Topping up to the constructive outlook for Gold price, the recent official data published by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) showed that the central bank ramped up its Gold reserves for the 18th straight month in Apri.

Furthermore, concerns about the alleged death of Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi aboard the crashed Iranian helicopter are keeping investors on the edge, fuelling the safe-haven demand for Gold price.

But the rally in Gold price has stalled, as traders turn cautious amid expectations of a profit-taking decline in the bright metal ahead of Fedspeak later on Monday.